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I guarantee we this is not another one of my columns about how polls suck.

Point One: You already know polls suck. Ask reporters about polls, and they will not customarily tell we a latest numbers, though about domain of error, weighting and callback polling. They will also contend things like: “Have we looked during a crosstabs? Hey, we gotta demeanour during a crosstabs.” (This is another reason never to speak to journalists.)

Ask genuine people about polling, however, and they always say: “I’ve never been called by a poll. Have we ever been called by a poll?”

And we respond truthfully: No, we have never been called by a poll, and we don’t know anybody else who has been called by a poll. This does not meant polls are done up. But we competence be improved off if they were.

Point Two: we know tangible pollsters; we have friends who are tangible pollsters, and they are trustworthy, loyal, helpful, friendly, courteous, kind, obedient, cheerful, thrifty, brave, purify and reverent. No, wait, that’s a Boy Scout Law. But many of a pollsters we know unequivocally are honest and commend both a energy and boundary of what they do. They don’t go around cheering about a limits, though they commend them.

In this week’s new and startling New York Times/CBS News poll, if we worried to review a sidebar story headlined “How a Poll Was Conducted” and review all a approach to a second to final sentence, we would find this admission: “In further to sampling error, a unsentimental problems of conducting any consult of open opinion might deliver other sources of blunder into a poll.”

In other words, “the unsentimental difficulties” of polling might meant a check sucks.

Point Three: We have met a enemy, and he is us. We make too most of polls. Way, approach too much. Everybody wants to know a future. Everybody wants to know who is going to win a subsequent presidential election, and because wait for Nov when a polls can tell us right now?

I infrequently quote polls. How can we not? Polls expostulate media coverage, voter enthusiasm, debate contributions and audience on Election Day. And polls do this regardless of a “practical difficulties” that “may deliver other sources of error” into a polling.

Point Four: Polls tell we one thing and one thing only. Polls tell we how those polled answered a pollsters’ questions. Sort of. Pollsters indeed “adjust” their formula a little. This is called weighting. And here is what a New York Times story we quoted above had to contend about a latest poll: “Overall formula have been weighted to adjust for movement in a representation relating to geographic area, sex, race, Hispanic origin, age, education, marital standing and series of adults in a household.”

What does that mean? Here is how weighting is explained by PrecisionPolling.com: “It is frequently a box that a people who answered your check are not entirely deputy of a segment we were polling over. Weighting is a technique to adjust answers to comment for over- and under-represented groups.”

In other words, pollsters “massage” a formula of their possess polling. Pollsters do this for a best of reasons — they wish to make their polls some-more accurate — though weighting has apparent perils.

The National Council on Public Polls has a minute and technical reason of weighting, though here is how it introduces a subject: “One of a reasons polls might differ is a approach a formula are weighted. It is common use to weight to demographic characteristics. Most times this reduces a sampling error. That is a indicate of weighting. Sometimes weighting creates things worse.”

Oh. Is that all.

We don’t customarily get such openness when reporters speak and write about check results, however. Weighting and other polling techniques are mostly formidable and formidable to communicate — and, besides, because hurt a good story with a facts?

The New York Times/CBS News polls expelled Monday not customarily showed Barack Obama trailing Mitt Romney by 3 commission points altogether though “Romney took a lead among women voters, who upheld a former Massachusetts administrator 46 percent to Mr. Obama’s 44 percent, that is within a poll’s domain of error. In April, Mr. Obama had an corner among women voters, with 49 percent support to Romney’s 43 percent.”

In other words, in one month — a month in that some commentators had been observant a Republican Party was waging a fight opposite women — Romney went from 6 commission points down among women to 2 commission points adult among women.

That is utterly a pitch and a genuine shocker. It led to a lot of research and gibberish — a Obama debate denounced a check — and Ben Smith, essay on Twitter as @BuzzFeedBen, said: “We’re coming a impulse when a CW (conventional wisdom) becomes Romney landslide.” we assume Ben was being wry. (And we am not going to contend reason a mustard.)

But on Wednesday, a Fox News check was expelled that not customarily showed Obama forward of Romney by 7 commission points overall, though heading Romney by an implausible 22 commission points among women.

So is Obama solidly forward or narrowly behind? And is he trailing among women or using divided with women (figuratively speaking, of course)?

Point Five: Right after a New York Times/CBS News poll, though before a recover of a Fox News poll, we tweeted this: “When a check flies in a face of common sense, a check is roughly always wrong.”

I consider I’ll hang with that.

Roger Simon is arch domestic author for Politico.com.